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2024-12-14 12:36:23

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index closed down 0.4% to 8,296 points.Li Zaiming, leader of the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement urging members of the ruling party to support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. Li Zaiming, leader of the Common Democratic Party, the largest opposition party in South Korea, issued a statement in the National Assembly on the 13th, calling on members of the ruling party, members of the National Force, to vote on the impeachment case of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th and support the passage of the case.


Market News: The motion of impeaching South Korean President Yin Xiyue was reported to the South Korean National Assembly.The cryptocurrency market fluctuated violently again, exceeding 110,000 people. In the past 24 hours, the cryptocurrency headed by Bitcoin jumped up and down. After Trump said "something great will be done in the cryptocurrency field", the price of Bitcoin once rose to about $102,500, and then profit-making funds poured out. Bitcoin plunged over $3,000, and the lowest dropped to around $99,200. Other smaller cryptocurrency varieties followed suit. Coinglass data shows that within 24 hours, the number of people in the cryptocurrency market has exceeded 110,000. At present, there are great differences in the market on cryptocurrency. Some optimists predict that Bitcoin may reach $150,000 in mid-2025. At the NEXT meeting in Reuters this week, American bankers expressed their caution about cryptocurrencies. BlackRock, a world-renowned asset management company, suggested in a report on Thursday that interested investors could consider allocating 2% of their portfolio to Bitcoin. However, the report also warned: "Investors should also be alert to the risks of Bitcoin, which may not be widely adopted in the end, and it is still very unstable and vulnerable to sharp selling." In addition, Turkish regulators said they would block access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges. (Broker China)LI self-developed high-toughness stainless steel rolled off the assembly line. According to LI official WeChat official account news, on December 12th, LI's first high-toughness stainless steel coil rolled off the assembly line in Qingtuo Group. Compared with traditional stainless steel, the strength of the self-developed stainless steel is improved by 46%, and the stress corrosion resistance is significantly improved. LI L series adopts high-pressure stainless steel fuel tanks. The application of this material in high-pressure fuel tanks can greatly improve the safety performance of fuel tanks under extreme working conditions. The off-line production of this material also indicates that LI has the ability of independent formula development and parts design in the field of high-toughness stainless steel.


The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Up to now, the turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan, 67.5 billion yuan more than the previous day. Among them, the turnover of Shanghai Stock Exchange was 600.1 billion yuan, that of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 885.3 billion yuan, and that of Beizheng 50 was 15.5 billion yuan.Thailand's finance minister said that Thailand is expected to levy the lowest corporate tax in the world from January 2025.CMB International: Upgraded the target price of WuXi Bio to HK$ 22.88, optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. CMB International published a report, predicting that the US Biosafety Act will fail with high probability, which will help WuXi Bio to achieve continuous performance growth in a relatively stable business environment. With the recovery of global biomedical financing, we are optimistic about the company's valuation and performance repair. According to the report, the NDAA in FY 2025 does not include the Biosafety Act, and the legislation of the Biosafety Act failed with high probability. On December 7, the US Senate and the House Armed Services Committee announced the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) for fiscal year 2025, which was finally negotiated by the committees of the two houses. The Biosafety Act was not included in the amendment of NDAA in FY 2025, which means that the Biosafety Act failed to pass the legislative path of joining NDAA. The Biosafety Act can still promote separate legislation, but considering that the window of the current US Congress session is less than two weeks, the Bank believes that the success rate of separate legislation is extremely low. CMB International maintained the "Buy" rating of Yaoming Bio, and its target price rose from HK$ 13.58 to HK$ 22.88. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by 7.1%/12.4%/ 13.9% from 2024 to 2026, and its adjusted net profit will increase by 0.8%/11.1%/13.4% respectively.

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